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Uncertainty vs Reality (Question Inside)

by Justin Long, on Jun 09, 2022

A philosophical question for you before we dive into the latest.

Is the world more uncertain right now than it has been in the past?

Magic8

Or are we simply more aware of our lack of predictability and control?

You don't have to go far to see headlines about uncertainty these days.

Uncertainty about…

Supply chains.

Inflation.

Pandemic issues.

Politics.

But is the world actually any more uncertain than it was two years ago? Or the years before that?

I'm not sure it is.

Our crystal balls have always been murky and unreliable, but sometimes we are forced to reckon with how little we actually know about what happens next.

I think this is one of those times.

All of us (economists and financial professionals included) are grappling with how little we can predict the future, and that's being reflected in markets as well as the news.

What do you think? Hit “reply” and let me know your thoughts.

Let’s talk about a couple of trends.

What's up with inflation?

We're waiting for the next official inflation estimates for May, which economists expect to have edged down slightly from April.1

If the data comes in lower, it could indicate that inflation peaked in March and is headed back down from 40-year highs.

That would be a relief for everyone.

What's driving markets?

Markets finally broke their losing streak, but it's not clear yet whether we're seeing a temporary rally or a return to optimism.2

Investors are still waiting to see whether prices have peaked and if the Federal Reserve has the ability to execute on its policy plans.

Bottom line: We might experience a rocky summer as investors digest the data and look for a path forward.

That might be frustrating after the volatility we've already experienced this year, but it's part and parcel of the market environment right now.

I don't know how the summer will play out, but I can offer reassurance: we're prepared for this and we're watching closely.

How are you doing? Any questions I can answer? Any plans you’re excited about that you'd like to share?

Be well,

Justin Long, CFP®

Founder/Advisor
Diazo Wealth Group 
702.278.6560
702.745.1800
http://www.diazowealth.com

 

P.S. Need a break? Check out live animal cams from the San Diego Zoo and the National Zoo. Have a favorite? Let me know!

1https://www.marketwatch.com/story/10-year-treasury-yield-holds-steady-above-3-as-investors-await-inflation-data-11654599790?mod=newsviewer_click

2https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/06/stock-market-futures-open-to-close-news.html


Risk Disclosure: Investing involves risk including the potential loss of principal. No investment strategy can guarantee a profit or protect against loss in periods of declining values. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

This material is for information purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information; no warranty, expressed or implied, is made regarding accuracy, adequacy, completeness, legality, reliability or usefulness of any information. Consult your financial professional before making any investment decision. For illustrative use only.

Innovative Adviser Solutions, LLC, a registered investment adviser, dba Diazo Wealth

Topics:PoliticsMarkets

 

Information presented is believed to be factual and up-to-date, but we do not guarantee its accuracy and it should not be regarded as a complete analysis of any topics discussed. All expressions of opinion reflect the judgment of the authors on the date of the post and are subject to change. Hyperlinks on our posts are provided as a convenience. We cannot be held responsible for information, services or products found on websites linked to ours.

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